Sam Miller ESPN archive

Photo: Danielle Joy, via

If you enjoy whimsy, Mike Trout, and thinking about baseball in a completely different way, then you’ll like ESPN baseball writer Sam Miller.

Unfortunately, it’s difficult to find articles and features written by Miller, the former editor-in-chief of Baseball Prospectus. ESPN doesn’t maintain an archive page for any of its writers.

I took the initiative and created an archive for Miller. I’ll keep adding to this page, so check back in if you don’t want to miss anything. Please share this page on Facebook, Twitter, or Reddit.

To subscribe as an RSS feed, use this URL: I will send out a link to new stories, and to my updated archive pages, every time Miller and Zach Lowe write a new piece for


6/12: Can you see a pitcher’s fastest fastball coming? Prove it!
6/5: Mike Trout tracker, May edition: He’s now better than three more Hall of Famers

5/30: How Cody Bellinger could have the best season in MLB history
5/29: Introducing a new kind of no-hitter
5/23: Christian Yelich and reimagining the ‘five-tool player’ in 2019
5/21: Why PECOTA projections were so wrong about the Cubs
5/13: Casey Mize, Vlad Jr. and the craziest minor league stats ever
5/7: The state of closers, bullpenning and April’s best reliever you’d never heard of
5/3: What Noah Syndergaard did is so rare — it deserves its own name
5/1: How many Hall of Famers did Mike Trout pass in April?

4/26: Greatest catch ever? Re-creating Kevin Mitchell’s epic bare-handed grab
4/22: How Christian Yelich became a future Hall of Famer in 400 plate appearances
4/16: Disappearing triples! Imploding bullpens! How baseball is different in 2019
4/11: When a position player pitching faces a pitcher hitting — who wins?
4/8: The Book of Jobu: How ‘Major League’ predicted the future
4/2: The truth hurts! Realistic 2019 goals for all 30 MLB teams

3/28: Predictions, inside info and fun facts: The only Opening Day preview you need
3/22: Will pitchers bring the most heat ever in 2019? Not so fast
3/21: How many complete games will be thrown in 2019? Thirty? Ten? None?
3/20: MLB’s David vs. Goliath: Will Daniel Descalso outhit Giancarlo Stanton this year?
3/20: A $430M bargain? Why Mike Trout might be worth a billion dollars
3/19: Which of baseball’s most unbreakable records might actually get broken in 2019?
3/18: MLB Mad Libs: Well, Suzyn, now you CAN predict baseball!
3/1: Baseball’s LeBron? How we were right — and wrong — about $330M man Bryce Harper

2/27: Lies, damn lies, and projections
2/8: J.T. Realmuto deal continues stunningly sad Marlins tradition
2/6: Welcome to a small-market team’s worst nightmare

1/23: Why a unanimous Hall of Famer is great for baseball
1/7: Baseball’s black holes: The worst team at every position


12/27: The Year That … : What we’d bet baseball in 2018 will be remembered for forever
12/14: You might be a better hitter than these five pitchers
12/12: Dominant 20: Why Mike Trout was still the toughest out in baseball in 2018
12/6: Is third base passing first base as baseball’s power position?
12/4: Young players have officially taken over Major League Baseball

11/28: Starlin Castro, a cup of beer and the most impressive at-bat of 2018
11/20: ‘I won’t throw it there again’: What we learned from MLB’s most wicked comebackers of 2018
11/13: Why are baseball managers so short?
11/5: The good, the bad … and the O’s: Ranking all 30 teams based on their 2018 goals
11/1: Roundtable: How will we remember the 2018 World Series and more?

10/29: Red Sox starters won the World Series — from the bullpen
10/24: Bedtime! What Game 1 looked like to kids across four time zones
10/22: Two sentences about each of the 50 players in the World Series
10/19: The unlucky legacy of the 2018 Houston Astros
10/16: We dare you not to walk Alex Bregman
10/12: How the dominant Brewers bullpen came together
10/11: What if Eduardo Nunez had been playing back one more foot …
10/4: A brief history of bullpenning
10/2: Pickoffs, pinch-hits and power: All of the things each playoff team does best

9/27: MLB Season 116 recap: Things you’d never have believed … until now
9/26: He’s not Babe Ruth. So after his rookie year, who is Shohei Ohtani?
9/20: Who needs October? The best moment for each out-of-it MLB team
9/19: Why aren’t the Dodgers even better?
9/8: When using the on-deck circle makes absolutely no sense
9/5: Why almost every MLB game begins with a fastball

8/30: The hardest thing to do in sports? Trying to hit Ryne Stanek down 0-2
8/28: From 6-4-3 to 1-2-3: Ranking the 17 types of double plays
8/23: The 20 rules for creating an MLB nickname (and what yours would be)
8/15: Are position players actually good pitchers? Yes — and definitely no
8/9: Delmon Young Trade Tree: How to flip a bust for 15 years of talent
8/7: MLB myth-buster: The shift isn’t curbing runs, it’s creating them

7/26: Bartolo Colon, Hall of Famer? Maybe it’s not so crazy
7/24: How beating up teammates became the go-to walk-off celebration
7/19: Winning isn’t the only thing: Realistic second-half goals for all 30 teams
7/16: The Home Run Derby and the beauty of baseball that doesn’t count
7/5: Mike Trout and Mookie Betts have opposite approaches — and both are perfect

6/28: Bunting is hard. Matt Harvey makes it look nearly impossible
6/27: What happens as baseball players age?
6/26: Don’t bunt on Greinke! At one small skill, he’s the world’s best
6/19: How Mike Trout stacks up to MLB’s greats as he closes in on 1,000 games
6/18: The value of four-homer games — and other wild nights
6/14: Cleveland’s bullpen proves the baseball gods are cruel
6/13: Star-studded roundtable: Revisiting award predictions and more

5/30: Yes, he’s amazing — but Mookie Betts still isn’t Mike Trout
5/22: The Shohei Ohtani experiment isn’t just working — it’s been perfect
5/17: Mike Trout is on pace for the greatest season in MLB history
5/15: ‘Pop’ science: Your guide to learning a new MLB stat
5/9: Why a 21-K game is MLB’s best record that can actually happen
5/4: Radical Ideas Series: What if MLB teams could bid for more home games?
5/2: Radical Ideas Series: What if MLB players were paid on commission?

4/30: Radical Ideas Series: What if every MLB team made the playoffs?
4/26: Roundtable chat: Here’s what four weeks of baseball have told us
4/24: Two thumbs up! Belt’s 21-pitch at-bat a triumph of cinema
4/23: No-hitters like Sean Manaea’s will become rarer and rarer
4/19: Three wild ways baseball in 2018 is unlike ever before
4/11: Your New Favorite Reliever Power Rankings: Eight guys to love you’ve never heard of
4/3: What have we learned about Shohei Ohtani so far?
4/3: Should Shohei Ohtani stay a two-way player? The Red Sox faced the same question with Babe Ruth 100 years ago
4/2: Brian Dozier whining about a bunt is all about trying to gain an edge

3/27: 2018 goals for all 30 teams: From getting to the World Series … to just getting someone to care
3/23: In 2018, what is a win? A shift in philosophy has changed MLB forever
3/21: Fun fact faceoff: Why 2018 could be monumental for Mike Trout
3/13: Which team would be MLB’s best if every player were in his prime?

2/28: Baseball gods or merely human? Four stars projections can’t predict
2/22: Rooting for laundry isn’t a joke — it’s why baseball works
2/21: When will Tim Tebow make the majors? A chat with David Schoenfield
2/17: Three outside-the-box answers to baseball’s extra-innings issue
2/15: How much embarrassment would you be willing to endure to play major league baseball?
2/8: Why no one will hit .400 ever again

1/31: The bunt base hit is dead. (Long live the bunt base hit!)
1/29: Pitch clocks, pace of play and robo-umps: Who should decide what’s best for baseball?
1/26: Just how bad is having the worst farm system in baseball, really?
1/17: Apologists vs. Deniers: What voting—or not voting—for Bonds and Clemens says about you
1/10: Slow MLB offseason? Blame Mike Trout!
1/9: What would happen if a baseball game went 50 innings?


12/29: The Year That … : 2017 will be remembered as an MLB season both big and small
12/28: The Year That … : Finding the single memory that defines each baseball season since 1903
12/18: Kenley Jansen vs. Nick Hundley: Inside the biggest mismatch in pro sports
12/15: Cold stove: The four teams no one talked about at the winter meetings
12/11: Shohei Ohtani choosing Angels says a lot about the power of MLB — and Mike Trout
12/6: Which Shohei Ohtani is the most fun Shohei Ohtani?

11/30: Do players deserve a fist bump for an intentional walk?
11/28: Was Julio Teheran any good this year? WAR says yes, no … and maybe
11/23: Who, me?! Why your team’s next closer will probably be a total surprise — even to him
11/8: Halladay an example for a generation of pitchers
11/7: The good, the bad … and the Giants: Ranking all 30 teams based on their 2017 goals
11/3: How the Astros won a World Series by betting on the ability to predict baseball
11/1: Managing Game 7 is the most difficult coaching job in sports

10/31: Should it stay or should it go? Ranking the best deep fly outs of the playoffs
10/26: 11 World Series home runs, 11 bad pitches? Making sense of the home run-happy World Series
10/23: Why the dominant Dodgers are actually World Series underdogs
10/21: Three-and-uh-oh! How Astros pitchers stared down three terrifying 3-0 counts
10/16: When it comes to closers, when will managers learn?
10/13: Max Scherzer’s unbelievable, impossible, unprecedented loss
10/12: How nobody — even the Indians — believed Dan Otero was that good
10/11: The path to 27 outs: Why pitch counts matter again in October
10/5: ‘Somebody’s gonna lose’: Predicting which player is doomed to make the last out of the World Series
10/4: Joe Girardi’s quick thinking, hook pay off
10/1: From the brilliant to the bland, grading every playoff team’s meme

9/29: Shortstops are toying with Albert Pujols, and other Statcast lessons
9/28: MLB Season 115 recap: We counted 27 head-scratching plot holes
9/25: What has changed for the Dodgers and Indians? Nothing — and everything
9/21: The National League stinks
9/19: Welcome to the era of the terrible, horrible, no good, very bad 30-home-run hitter
9/15: This is going to be the wildest October in history
9/12: Clayton Kershaw and the thin line between one bad start and a catastrophe
9/8: Why isn’t every starting pitcher turning into Alex Wood?
9/5: The unlikely story of how No. 762 became Barry Bonds’ final home run

8/27: How many injuries would it take to endanger the Nationals’ lead?
8/24: Stop everything you’re doing and watch Andrelton Simmons
8/22: 73! 61! 37?! What’s the real home run record, anyway?
8/17: ‘Skunk in the outfield’: How the most epic trick play in history broke baseball
8/16: A sign of MLB’s future? Why the Cubs’ 4-man outfield matters
8/15: Why MLB games are FIVE MINUTES longer this season
8/11: What does Jeffrey Loria get for mishandling Marlins? Pure profit
8/8: Why we should all root for an Astros-Dodgers World Series
8/4: For the same two minutes every game, Yu Darvish is an awful pitcher
8/3: Use it or lose it: Are managers making the most out of their instant replay challenges?

7/27: Dear 1987, you’re not going to believe what has happened to baseball
7/26: Winners? Losers? At baseball’s bonkers trade deadline, nobody really knows
7/21: Dig the long ball? Here’s why home run highlight videos are the worst
7/19: From the 10th until it mercifully ends: How each extra inning is completely different
7/12: Who says there’s no mystery anymore? Ranking the best matchups from the All-Star Game
7/12: Which outfield would shag more flies: One Byron Buxton or 25 Home Run Derby kids?

6/30: Why the A’s will never be the Astros
6/29: MLBRank: Don’t blink, or you’ll miss Sam Miller’s up-to-the-minute Top 10
6/28: June 22 was a danged interesting day to be watching baseball
6/22: What if Cody Bellinger is going to hit 763 home runs and we just don’t know it yet?
6/21: Baseball’s numbers revolution is spreading to Latin America
6/15: Shohei Otani and why being Babe Ruth isn’t all it’s cracked up to be
6/13: Single-A to The Show? Padres turn Petco Park into a science lab
6/9: Fifteen years after Moneyball, are fat, short players any more likely to be drafted?
6/8: Dear Bryce Harper, my dude: What were you thinking?!
6/6: Major league litter: Can a strategic bat toss turn trash into treasure?

5/31: Still the god of WAR? Don’t doubt Mike Trout
5/25: Is it time for teams to treat Mike Trout like Barry Bonds?
5/24: For Jered Weaver, end coming not with a bang but with a whimper
5/19: State of the Bullpen in 2017: All 30 teams, ordered by loyalty to convention so far
5/16: The 10-day DL and the starting pitcher apocalypse
5/12: Mike Trout’s climb to the top of the WAR leaderboard
5/11: Juice the ball. Or don’t juice it. Just tell us!
5/5: Baseball without injured aces? Be careful what you wish for

4/29: Danny Salazar is finally becoming an ace. Sound familiar?
4/27: Moneyball? Try Powerball. Even the A’s are swinging away
4/26: Meet the cast of the Chris Coghlan slide
4/20: Shhh! Don’t tell anyone, but baseball is changing
4/19: ‘Roids to ruin? Turns out, PED punishments aren’t a deterrent
4/18: What is the new .300? How to read a 21st century baseball card
4/14: MLB fan survey says … baseball actually ISN’T boring and your team is really awesome
4/13: Mighty Mites are taking over baseball!
4/11: It’s a new year — and Joey Votto has come out swinging
4/7: How good of a hitter is Madison Bumgarner, really?
4/6: How to enjoy baseball
4/4: The 65-win Cubs?!? Tales from MLB’s 2017 alternative timelines

3/30: Forget the ninth inning — Andrew Miller is here to save the game
3/29: How to keep baseball from being boring: A 50-year plan
3/27: Barry Bonds, Pac-Man and the greatest baseball fun fact of all time
3/20: From ‘insult’ to injury, what can Angels expect from Albert Pujols?
3/10: Advantage: Tim Tebow? Bizarre batting behavior made us wonder

2/27: How the overachieving O’s keep trumping the projections
2/20: In a world without stats, who’d be baseball’s best player?
2/7: What is PECOTA, and should you hate it?
2/6: Robert Gsellman had a secret: He couldn’t swing

1/31: Victor Martinez: Worst. Baserunner. Ever?
1/24: Show me the mind games! Mutual options not about the money
1/23: The hardest pitch Yordano Ventura ever threw
1/20: As snubs show, WAR won’t carry you to Cooperstown
1/12: Has anyone had a crazier career path than Rich Hill? Maybe
1/11: Nobody hits ’em where they ain’t like Mike Trout


12/28: Masterpiece Fall Classic: Inside the greatest game ever
12/19: What’s a closer worth? Well … that’s complicated
12/14: The Pirates’ Josh Harrison is the king of the pickle
12/7: The Pirates and Andrew McCutchen: In baseball, player loyalty doesn’t pay
12/6: Home field in the World Series does matter, just not when you think

11/27: Investigating baseball’s ultimate feat of the improbable — the walk-off triple
11/23: Going to WAR: The mystery of Robbie Ray
11/18: Does Mike Trout’s MVP win answer who’s most valuable?
11/17: Chris Davis’ drop-off not as sour as it seems
11/11: Desired dollars: Should we care what free agents are seeking?
11/6: Cubs win! Cubs won. Now what do we stay alive for?
11/3: Baseball’s little miracles: From the late rounds to Game 7

10/31: Aroldis’ entrance: The moment this World Series got interesting
10/28: Cody Allen makes the Andrew Miller experiment possible
10/26: Is it possible that David Ross doesn’t know Corey Kluber?
10/24: Are statheads responsible for the most exciting postseason in years?
10/22: Why NLCS Game 6 comes down to one thing — Kershaw vs. Rizzo
10/20: Putting Yasmani Grandal’s value in the proper frame
10/18: Surprise! Aroldis Chapman isn’t as unhittable as you think
10/7: How to appreciate the Cubs’ defense from your couch
10/5: Out-by-out examination: When Buck should have used Britton

ESPN The Magazine

3/18: Scott Boras (of all people!) is a hero to young pitchers with injured arms

5/19: Why Tommy John surgeries won’t cease any time soon

2/18: Los Angeles Angels will try anything to fix the worst franchise in MLB

10/4: Oakland Athletics success due to player chemistry not metrics
2/19: Why Wins Above Replacement is MLB’s next big all-encompassing stat
1/23: Chicago White Sox Philip Humber knows the curse of perfection

9/20: Los Angeles Angels centerfielder Mike Trout is a phenom, but will it last?
7/18: Transforming failed position prospects into dominant relief pitchers is baseball’s newest trend


70 thoughts on “Sam Miller ESPN archive

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